Open questions

22 questions in utilities. Every one has a yes or no answer, a date, and a source you can check yourself. Why so few?

All 64money 10screens 16sport 6the draw 5the vote 5utilities 22

This week 1

utilities

Will the Vaal Dam still be over 100% full in the week of 11 August 2026?

The Vaal supplies Gauteng and can hold more than 100% of its official capacity after good rain. It has been sitting just above the line. This asks whether it holds.

72c
market-implied chance of yes
CLOSES 11 AUG 2026, 12:00 SASTDWS, weekly state of the reservoirs

This month 4

utilities

Will the Vaal Dam still be over 100% full in the week of 18 August 2026?

The Vaal supplies Gauteng and can hold more than 100% of its official capacity after good rain. It has been sitting just above the line. This asks whether it holds.

72c
market-implied chance of yes
CLOSES 18 AUG 2026, 12:00 SASTDWS, weekly state of the reservoirs
utilities

Will the Vaal Dam still be over 100% full in the week of 25 August 2026?

The Vaal supplies Gauteng and can hold more than 100% of its official capacity after good rain. It has been sitting just above the line. This asks whether it holds.

72c
market-implied chance of yes
CLOSES 25 AUG 2026, 12:00 SASTDWS, weekly state of the reservoirs
utilities

Will the Vaal Dam still be over 100% full in the week of 01 September 2026?

The Vaal supplies Gauteng and can hold more than 100% of its official capacity after good rain. It has been sitting just above the line. This asks whether it holds.

72c
market-implied chance of yes
CLOSES 01 SEP 2026, 12:00 SASTDWS, weekly state of the reservoirs
utilities

Will Eskom implement any load-shedding in August 2026?

South Africa has now gone more than 200 days without load-shedding and Eskom is forecasting a stable winter. One hour of Stage 1 anywhere in the month resolves this Yes.

12c
market-implied chance of yes
CLOSES 02 SEP 2026, 10:00 SASTEskom, power system status

Later 17

utilities

Will the Vaal Dam still be over 100% full in the week of 08 September 2026?

The Vaal supplies Gauteng and can hold more than 100% of its official capacity after good rain. It has been sitting just above the line. This asks whether it holds.

72c
market-implied chance of yes
CLOSES 08 SEP 2026, 12:00 SASTDWS, weekly state of the reservoirs
utilities

Will the Vaal Dam still be over 100% full in the week of 15 September 2026?

The Vaal supplies Gauteng and can hold more than 100% of its official capacity after good rain. It has been sitting just above the line. This asks whether it holds.

72c
market-implied chance of yes
CLOSES 15 SEP 2026, 12:00 SASTDWS, weekly state of the reservoirs
utilities

Will the Vaal Dam still be over 100% full in the week of 22 September 2026?

The Vaal supplies Gauteng and can hold more than 100% of its official capacity after good rain. It has been sitting just above the line. This asks whether it holds.

72c
market-implied chance of yes
CLOSES 22 SEP 2026, 12:00 SASTDWS, weekly state of the reservoirs
utilities

Will the Vaal Dam still be over 100% full in the week of 29 September 2026?

The Vaal supplies Gauteng and can hold more than 100% of its official capacity after good rain. It has been sitting just above the line. This asks whether it holds.

72c
market-implied chance of yes
CLOSES 29 SEP 2026, 12:00 SASTDWS, weekly state of the reservoirs
utilities

Will Eskom implement any load-shedding in September 2026?

South Africa has now gone more than 200 days without load-shedding and Eskom is forecasting a stable winter. One hour of Stage 1 anywhere in the month resolves this Yes.

12c
market-implied chance of yes
CLOSES 02 OCT 2026, 10:00 SASTEskom, power system status
utilities

Will Cape Town hit 35°C in September 2026?

Measured at the Cape Town International Airport station, which is the official record for the city. One hot day is all it takes.

30c
market-implied chance of yes
CLOSES 06 OCT 2026, 12:00 SASTSouth African Weather Service
utilities

Will the Vaal Dam still be over 100% full in the week of 06 October 2026?

The Vaal supplies Gauteng and can hold more than 100% of its official capacity after good rain. It has been sitting just above the line. This asks whether it holds.

72c
market-implied chance of yes
CLOSES 06 OCT 2026, 12:00 SASTDWS, weekly state of the reservoirs
utilities

Will the Vaal Dam still be over 100% full in the week of 13 October 2026?

The Vaal supplies Gauteng and can hold more than 100% of its official capacity after good rain. It has been sitting just above the line. This asks whether it holds.

72c
market-implied chance of yes
CLOSES 13 OCT 2026, 12:00 SASTDWS, weekly state of the reservoirs
utilities

Will the Vaal Dam still be over 100% full in the week of 20 October 2026?

The Vaal supplies Gauteng and can hold more than 100% of its official capacity after good rain. It has been sitting just above the line. This asks whether it holds.

72c
market-implied chance of yes
CLOSES 20 OCT 2026, 12:00 SASTDWS, weekly state of the reservoirs
utilities

Will the Vaal Dam still be over 100% full in the week of 27 October 2026?

The Vaal supplies Gauteng and can hold more than 100% of its official capacity after good rain. It has been sitting just above the line. This asks whether it holds.

72c
market-implied chance of yes
CLOSES 27 OCT 2026, 12:00 SASTDWS, weekly state of the reservoirs
utilities

Will Eskom implement any load-shedding in October 2026?

South Africa has now gone more than 200 days without load-shedding and Eskom is forecasting a stable winter. One hour of Stage 1 anywhere in the month resolves this Yes.

12c
market-implied chance of yes
CLOSES 02 NOV 2026, 10:00 SASTEskom, power system status
utilities

Will the Vaal Dam still be over 100% full in the week of 03 November 2026?

The Vaal supplies Gauteng and can hold more than 100% of its official capacity after good rain. It has been sitting just above the line. This asks whether it holds.

72c
market-implied chance of yes
CLOSES 03 NOV 2026, 12:00 SASTDWS, weekly state of the reservoirs
utilities

Will Cape Town hit 35°C in October 2026?

Measured at the Cape Town International Airport station, which is the official record for the city. One hot day is all it takes.

30c
market-implied chance of yes
CLOSES 06 NOV 2026, 12:00 SASTSouth African Weather Service
utilities

Will the Vaal Dam still be over 100% full in the week of 10 November 2026?

The Vaal supplies Gauteng and can hold more than 100% of its official capacity after good rain. It has been sitting just above the line. This asks whether it holds.

72c
market-implied chance of yes
CLOSES 10 NOV 2026, 12:00 SASTDWS, weekly state of the reservoirs
utilities

Will the Vaal Dam still be over 100% full in the week of 17 November 2026?

The Vaal supplies Gauteng and can hold more than 100% of its official capacity after good rain. It has been sitting just above the line. This asks whether it holds.

72c
market-implied chance of yes
CLOSES 17 NOV 2026, 12:00 SASTDWS, weekly state of the reservoirs
utilities

Will Eskom implement any load-shedding in November 2026?

South Africa has now gone more than 200 days without load-shedding and Eskom is forecasting a stable winter. One hour of Stage 1 anywhere in the month resolves this Yes.

12c
market-implied chance of yes
CLOSES 02 DEC 2026, 10:00 SASTEskom, power system status
utilities

Will Cape Town hit 35°C in November 2026?

Measured at the Cape Town International Airport station, which is the official record for the city. One hot day is all it takes.

30c
market-implied chance of yes
CLOSES 06 DEC 2026, 12:00 SASTSouth African Weather Service