Short answer: because we can settle them. That is a much smaller list than the questions worth asking, and closing that gap is the entire point of this thing.
Anyone can write a market. Will the Boks win? Will the ANC drop below 40%? Will the lights stay on? Writing them takes an afternoon.
Settling them is the hard part, and it is where most prediction markets quietly cheat. A question is only honest if, before anyone puts money on it, you can name one public source that will publish one unambiguous number on one known date, and you can point at it in advance. No committee. No judgement call afterwards. No operator deciding what a word meant once the money is on the table.
Hold that line and most interesting questions fall away. The dam level survives because the Department publishes a weekly report. The lottery survives because the operator publishes a prize breakdown. Inflation survives because Stats SA publishes on a fixed calendar. Almost everything else does not.
So there are 64 questions here across 6 categories, not two thousand. 5 of them settle themselves from a live source with no human involved. That number going up is the only growth we actually care about.
Not traders. Not ideas. Sources.
Somewhere in South Africa there is a company that already knows, reliably and on a schedule, what the fuel price will be, how many trucks crossed Beitbridge, what a basket of groceries costs in Khayelitsha this week, how many housing units were actually completed, what the grid did overnight. That data exists. It is measured properly by people who care about measuring it properly. And almost none of it is public in a form anyone can settle a question against.
If that is you, we would like to build markets on your numbers. You would get a live, public demonstration that people care enough about your data to bet on it, which is a harder and more interesting proof of value than a download count. We are not asking you to give anything away for free forever. We are asking to be your shop window.
YaNoBru is not a business. There is no house edge, no rake, no deposits and no withdrawals. Nobody can lose a rand here because there are no rands here, only play money and a scoreboard.
There is no prize money either. Not withheld, not coming soon, simply not there. The whole budget is a server and a domain, paid for personally. Anything raised would go to two things and nothing else: buying access to better data, and putting real prizes on the boards so that being right is worth the effort of being careful.
All of them start with an email to a person, because at this size that is faster and more honest than a form that files a ticket.
You produce or hold data that is measured properly and published on a schedule. We turn it into questions people actually argue about, credit you on every market it settles, and send you what the trading says about how much people trust your numbers.
support@yanobru.co.zaThere is nothing to win here yet, which is the honest position and not the ideal one. A prize is what makes people take a forecast seriously enough to be careful. Fund one board or a whole season and your name goes on it. The standings are public, permanent and scored on accuracy rather than luck, so you would be attaching yourself to a number that can be checked.
support@yanobru.co.zaIf you think a South African prediction market should exist and want it to move faster than a nights-and-weekends budget allows, we should talk. Small donations go to data access and prizes, in that order. Larger conversations are welcome and we will show you the actual numbers.
support@yanobru.co.zaA question that reads two ways. A market that settled badly. A source that went stale. A screen that made no sense on your phone. This is the most useful thing anyone sends us and it costs you two minutes.
support@yanobru.co.zaAn honest platform is one where you can check the operator's homework. Ours is all published: every formula, what we predicted before we knew the answers, and the raw settlement data behind both. If we ever claim our prices were any good, you will be able to prove or disprove it yourself.
A person reads every one of these. Tell us what happened and we will come back to you.