Will turnout beat 47.1% at the 07 November 2026 local elections?

2021 saw the lowest turnout since 1994 at 47.1%, down from about 58% in the two elections before it. Whether that was a one-off or the new normal gets settled here.

45cchance of yes
No price history yet. This market has not moved since it opened at 45c.
the voteG-TURNOUT-26NOV07CLOSES 04 NOV 2026, 18:00 SASTIEC, election results

YES bids

43c400

NO bids

53c400

A YES bid at 43c and a NO bid at 53c meet when they add to 100. That pair funds one contract between them.

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How this settles

This market resolves YES if national voter turnout declared by the Electoral Commission is higher than 47.1% of registered voters. It resolves NO in every other case.