Hung councils went from about 30 in 2016 to 66 in 2021, and coalition chaos has defined local government ever since. This asks whether it gets worse again.
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This market resolves YES if the number of municipal councils in which no single party holds more than half the declared seats exceeds 66. It resolves NO in every other case.
Settles from: Electoral Commission of South Africa final declared seat allocations for the 2026 Local Government Elections (https://www.elections.org.za/). Closes 2026-11-04 06:00 SAST. Decided 2026-11-14 18:00 SAST. A council is hung where no single party holds more than half the declared seats. The count is taken from the Electoral Commission's seat allocation on final declaration, before any coalition is formed, a coalition subsequently agreed does not make a hung council un-hung for this market.
Check the source yourself: IEC, seat allocations
If any of the following happens, the question is voided and every stake goes back. It scores for nobody either way.
The election is postponed beyond the constitutionally prescribed window ending 30 January 2027; The Electoral Commission does not declare final seat allocations for all councils within 45 calendar days of polling day; The results are set aside by a competent court before determinatio
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