Will inflation come in above 4.5% for August 2026?

4.5% is the midpoint of the Reserve Bank's target band, the number it actually steers towards. Above it and rate cuts get harder; below it and they get easier. June 2026 came in at 5.0%.

68cchance of yes
No price history yet. This market has not moved since it opened at 68c.
moneyG-CPI-26AUGCLOSES 23 SEP 2026, 11:00 SASTStats SA, Consumer Price Index

YES bids

66c400

NO bids

30c400

A YES bid at 66c and a NO bid at 30c meet when they add to 100. That pair funds one contract between them.

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How this settles

This market resolves YES if the headline consumer price index annual percentage change first published by Statistics South Africa for the reference month is greater than 4.5%. It resolves NO in every other case.